Ankalaev vs. Guskov odds put Magomed Ankalaev as heavy favorite

The Ankalaev vs. Guskov odds have Magomed Ankalaev sitting as a strong favorite before Saturday’s UFC Fight Night main event at Etihad Arena in Yas Island/Yas West, United Arab Emirates.

According to DraftKings Sportsbook odds cited by CBS Sports, the No. 2-ranked Ankalaev is -535 against No. 9-ranked Bogdan Guskov, who is listed at +400. The light heavyweight bout tops a six-fight main card scheduled to begin around noon ET on Paramount+.

For bettors, -535 means a wager of $535 would return $100 in profit if Ankalaev wins. Guskov’s +400 price means a $100 bet would return $400 in profit if he pulls the upset.

What are the Ankalaev vs. Guskov odds?

DraftKings lists Ankalaev at -535 and Guskov at +400, according to CBS Sports. The posted total for rounds is 2.5, with the over at +130 and the under at -166.

Ankalaev enters after a TKO defeat to Alex Pereira in a UFC light heavyweight title fight at UFC 320 in October, CBS Sports reported. Guskov’s most recent outing was a draw with Jan Blachowicz at UFC 323 on Dec. 6, 2025.

SportsLine analyst Kyle Marley has released selections for the card, according to CBS Sports. The outlet says Marley’s UFC picks have produced more than $21,000 in returns since May 2018, and nearly $10,000 over the past three-plus years for $100 bettors following his plays.

Who are Magomed Ankalaev and Bogdan Guskov?

Ankalaev, 34, is listed by CBS Sports as the No. 2 fighter in the Meta UFC light heavyweight rankings. CBS Sports also says he was the first Russian UFC light heavyweight champion and previously held the World Fighting Championship Akhmat light heavyweight title.

Across 24 professional MMA fights, Ankalaev’s record is 20-2 with one draw and one no contest, according to CBS Sports. His wins are split evenly: 10 by knockout and 10 by decision. The outlet also notes that he has earned four Performance of the Night bonuses and owns the second-longest unbeaten run in UFC light heavyweight history at 14 fights.

Guskov, 33, began his pro MMA career in December 2015, CBS Sports reported. He was 14-2 before entering the UFC in September 2023, where he lost to Volkan Oezdemir by first-round submission, then won four straight before the Blachowicz draw.

Guskov’s professional record stands at 18-3-1 in 22 fights, per CBS Sports. He has 15 knockout wins and three submission victories. The outlet also lists him as a former Federation Cup champion, a Moscow K-1 Championship silver medalist, a Russian Grappling Championship silver medalist and an Uzbekistan champion in universal combat.

What pick has Kyle Marley shared?

One SportsLine pick made public by CBS Sports is on the preliminary card: Marley is backing Mike Davis, listed at +150, to beat Nurullo Aliev, listed at -180, by split decision in a lightweight fight.

Marley told CBS Sports that Aliev is the better wrestler and has an 11-0 record, while Davis is the better striker and athlete in that matchup. He said the fight could go either way and sided with the underdog by split decision.

CBS Sports reported that Marley also has picks for Ankalaev vs. Guskov and other fights on the card, including an underdog he describes as the better boxer and more dangerous striker, but those selections were published through SportsLine.

UFC Fight Night main card odds

• Magomed Ankalaev (-535) vs. Bogdan Guskov (+400)
• Steve Erceg (-115) vs. Ramazan Temirov (-105)
• Islam Dulatov (-800) vs. Wellington Turman (+550)
• Magomed Zaynukov (-375) vs. Damian Rzepecki (+295)
• Rizvan Kuniev (-270) vs. Tyrell Fortune (+220)
• Ismael Bonfim (+150) vs. Axel Sola (-180)

This story draws on original reporting from CBS Sports.